Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 111.329094 127.561342 146.241647 169.538394 198.109785 232.399722 2.772725e+02
2025-04-06 88.836275 109.101614 134.799003 170.549040 220.300165 289.203814 3.959524e+02
2025-04-13 75.829943 97.337469 126.389834 169.937060 236.299361 338.823676 5.213244e+02
2025-04-20 69.214835 92.167528 124.872068 177.195328 263.802075 412.359231 7.172312e+02
2025-04-27 65.633899 90.349365 127.335121 190.276475 303.287620 519.287719 1.038468e+03
2025-05-04 59.567356 83.882747 121.527269 188.464582 316.051983 581.040936 1.306357e+03
2025-05-11 55.333126 79.593337 118.377350 190.323383 335.828002 665.052067 1.704523e+03
2025-05-18 50.913563 74.460053 113.066016 187.154194 344.467555 727.367377 2.103830e+03
2025-05-25 47.913504 71.272069 110.581701 188.756385 363.661275 825.414613 2.762374e+03
2025-06-01 45.010429 67.931704 107.381163 188.317452 378.080293 918.279399 3.561141e+03
2025-06-08 42.130532 64.353448 103.323433 185.409756 385.796251 995.852204 4.452935e+03
2025-06-15 40.929821 63.548679 104.242556 193.156553 423.029543 1195.789429 6.746437e+03
2025-06-22 37.842786 59.354594 98.681882 186.628585 422.615990 1270.682554 8.531110e+03
2025-06-29 35.890316 57.058600 96.598671 187.855998 445.688173 1465.680047 1.302264e+04
2025-07-06 33.955169 54.610608 93.913965 187.161130 463.041951 1656.682714 1.987160e+04
2025-07-13 33.057903 53.993718 94.832845 195.433057 512.867538 2079.465557 4.247179e+04
2025-07-20 32.762879 54.474638 98.073259 210.380190 593.951440 2845.364059 1.520852e+05
2025-07-27 31.120332 52.201447 95.148866 208.306887 611.019350 3212.500890 3.653812e+05
2025-08-03 29.936226 50.732927 93.822433 210.433878 646.603186 3828.873322 1.861518e+06
2025-08-10 28.450790 48.551516 90.680139 206.808029 656.580872 4245.311346 1.519293e+07
2025-08-17 27.449058 47.272930 89.458302 208.640728 692.720069 5083.341703 NaN
2025-08-24 26.375986 45.771186 87.571030 208.138571 718.269452 5916.363015 NaN
2025-08-31 25.214577 44.010729 84.915929 204.813457 728.703517 6605.893206 NaN